Back to Bellator 172: Fedor vs. Mitrione
Women's Flyweight

Veta Arteaga vs Brooke Mayo

Bellator 172: Fedor vs. Mitrione ·SAP Center at San Jose
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Veta Arteaga
Brooke Mayo
82% 18%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 3
Arteaga: 45 sig / 0 TD · Mayo: 27 sig / 3 TD
Veta Arteaga
Brooke Mayo
40
Sig strikes landed
40
90
Sig strikes attempted
90
66
Total strikes landed
66
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
173s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Veta Arteaga

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Blue corner

Brooke Mayo

"The Bully"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"