Middleweight
Francisco France vs Anatoly Tokov
Bellator 172: Fedor vs. Mitrione
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Francisco France
Anatoly Tokov
35%
65%
Why
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
France: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Tokov: 26 sig / 1 TD
Francisco France
Anatoly Tokov
42
Sig strikes landed
48
103
Sig strikes attempted
109
57
Total strikes landed
61
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
128s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Francisco France
"Kiko"
14-5-1
Career record
Height
72"
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 146: Kato vs. Manhoef
—
Blue corner
Anatoly Tokov
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
27