Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Erick Silva
Yancy Medeiros
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
20-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
16-8
W1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Medeiros: 33 sig / 0 TD
Erick Silva
Yancy Medeiros
36
Sig strikes landed
25
75
Sig strikes attempted
67
42
Total strikes landed
35
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
79s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Erick Silva
20-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
Blue corner
W1
Yancy Medeiros
16-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
L
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—