Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
King Green
Rashid Magomedov
55%
45%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
31
Age
Δ 2y
32
35-18-1
Career record
Δ 22 pp
20-3
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Green: 75 sig / 0 TD ·
Magomedov: 75 sig / 0 TD
King Green
Rashid Magomedov
54
Sig strikes landed
58
130
Sig strikes attempted
122
62
Total strikes landed
75
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
60s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
King Green
35-18-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
L1
Rashid Magomedov
"Highlander"
20-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—