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Main Bantamweight

John Dodson vs Eddie Wineland

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
John Dodson
Eddie Wineland
63% 37%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
22-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
25-16-1
L1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dodson: 48 sig / 0 TD · Wineland: 21 sig / 0 TD
John Dodson
Eddie Wineland
56
Sig strikes landed
50
132
Sig strikes attempted
125
58
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
42s
Control time
26s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

John Dodson

"The Magician"
22-13
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
W UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
L UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
W UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
W UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
Blue corner
W2

Eddie Wineland

25-16-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
W UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
L UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
L UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
W UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson