Back to UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Chase Sherman vs Rashad Coulter

UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos ·American Airlines Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Chase Sherman
Rashad Coulter
66% 34%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
28
Age
Δ 8y
36
L2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sherman: 103 sig / 0 TD · Coulter: 36 sig / 0 TD
Chase Sherman
Rashad Coulter
45
Sig strikes landed
40
114
Sig strikes attempted
82
55
Total strikes landed
59
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Chase Sherman

"The Vanilla Gorilla"
16-13
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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Blue corner

Rashad Coulter

"Daywalker"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36