Main
Featherweight
Frankie Edgar vs Yair Rodriguez
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Frankie Edgar
Yair Rodriguez
36%
64%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
36
Age
Δ 11y
25
24-11-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
22-6
W1
Current streak
W6
14
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Edgar: 72 sig / 1 TD ·
Rodriguez: 16 sig / 0 TD
Frankie Edgar
Yair Rodriguez
58
Sig strikes landed
62
143
Sig strikes attempted
158
71
Total strikes landed
76
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.3
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
197s
Control time
26s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
24-11-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
14 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
Blue corner
W6
Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
22-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—