🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Jessica Andrade
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Jessica Andrade
58%
42%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
62"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
17-5
Career record
Δ 13 pp
27-15
W7
Current streak
W3
7
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Jedrzejczyk: 225 sig / 0 TD ·
Andrade: 83 sig / 2 TD
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Jessica Andrade
180
Sig strikes landed
70
272
Sig strikes attempted
185
186
Total strikes landed
98
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
59s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W7
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
17-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 7-0
Last 5
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
Blue corner
W3
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—