🏆 Title fight
Main
Heavyweight
Stipe Miocic vs Junior Dos Santos
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Stipe Miocic
Junior Dos Santos
69%
31%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
35
Age
Δ 1y
33
21-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
22-9
W4
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Miocic: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Santos: 12 sig / 0 TD
Stipe Miocic
Junior Dos Santos
80
Sig strikes landed
69
155
Sig strikes attempted
141
109
Total strikes landed
83
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.1
5.4
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
169s
Control time
10s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Stipe Miocic
21-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W1
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
22-9
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—