Prelims1
Heavyweight
Daniel Omielanczuk vs Timothy Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Omielanczuk
Timothy Johnson
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
19-9-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
12-5
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Omielanczuk: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Johnson: 52 sig / 1 TD
Daniel Omielanczuk
Timothy Johnson
31
Sig strikes landed
32
55
Sig strikes attempted
76
50
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
98s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daniel Omielanczuk
19-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
Blue corner
L1
Timothy Johnson
12-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—