Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Darren Stewart vs Francimar Barroso
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Darren Stewart
Francimar Barroso
54%
46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
26
Age
Δ 11y
37
12-8
Career record
Δ 13 pp
19-7
—
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stewart: 31 sig / 1 TD ·
Barroso: 28 sig / 7 TD
Darren Stewart
Francimar Barroso
35
Sig strikes landed
37
72
Sig strikes attempted
68
49
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.0
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
90s
Control time
229s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Darren Stewart
"The Dentist"
12-8
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-0
Blue corner
L1
Francimar Barroso
"Bodao"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
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L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
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