Prelims1
Welterweight
Sergio Moraes vs Davi Ramos
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
·Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Sergio Moraes
Davi Ramos
55%
45%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
35
Age
Δ 4y
30
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Moraes: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Ramos: 35 sig / 0 TD
Sergio Moraes
Davi Ramos
32
Sig strikes landed
26
69
Sig strikes attempted
56
47
Total strikes landed
40
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
150s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sergio Moraes
"The Panther"
15-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
D
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
Blue corner
Davi Ramos
"Tasmanian Devil"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30