Main
Flyweight
Jussier Formiga vs Ray Borg
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
·Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jussier Formiga
Ray Borg
58%
42%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
24-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
14-5
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Formiga: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Borg: 36 sig / 0 TD
Jussier Formiga
Ray Borg
15
Sig strikes landed
16
41
Sig strikes attempted
46
39
Total strikes landed
35
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
175s
Control time
258s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jussier Formiga
24-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ray Borg
"The Tazmexican Devil"
14-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—