Main
Lightweight
Edson Barboza vs Beneil Dariush
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
·Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Beneil Dariush
39%
61%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
25-14
Career record
Δ 9 pp
24-8-1
W2
Current streak
W2
16
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Barboza: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Dariush: 51 sig / 0 TD
Edson Barboza
Beneil Dariush
43
Sig strikes landed
48
105
Sig strikes attempted
108
54
Total strikes landed
60
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.7
0.4
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
23s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
25-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
16 fights · 12-4
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
Blue corner
W2
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—