Back to UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Main Women's Strawweight

Amanda Cooper vs Cynthia Calvillo

UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Amanda Cooper
Cynthia Calvillo
51% 49%
Why
64"
Reach
64"
25
Age
Δ 4y
30
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Cooper: 7 sig / 0 TD · Calvillo: 13 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Cooper
Cynthia Calvillo
32
Sig strikes landed
38
75
Sig strikes attempted
76
52
Total strikes landed
69
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
189s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Amanda Cooper

"ABC"
4-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
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Blue corner

Cynthia Calvillo

0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30