Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mark Godbeer
Daniel Spitz
59%
41%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
82"
33
Age
Δ 7y
27
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Godbeer: 92 sig / 0 TD ·
Spitz: 51 sig / 1 TD
Mark Godbeer
Daniel Spitz
22
Sig strikes landed
32
40
Sig strikes attempted
60
34
Total strikes landed
45
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.4
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
127s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
18%
KO/TKO
68%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mark Godbeer
"The Hand Of"
13-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
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Blue corner
Daniel Spitz
0-0
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27