Main
Women's Bantamweight
Sara McMann vs Gina Mazany
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
·Scotiabank Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sara McMann
Gina Mazany
59%
41%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
W2
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McMann: 7 sig / 2 TD ·
Mazany: 0 sig / 0 TD
Sara McMann
Gina Mazany
24
Sig strikes landed
27
54
Sig strikes attempted
55
52
Total strikes landed
52
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.6
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
292s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Sara McMann
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
L
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
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Blue corner
Gina Mazany
"Danger"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29