Main
Middleweight
Elias Theodorou vs Cezar Ferreira
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
·Scotiabank Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Elias Theodorou
Cezar Ferreira
80%
20%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
17-3
Career record
Δ 21 pp
14-8
W1
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Theodorou: 38 sig / 1 TD ·
Ferreira: 11 sig / 3 TD
Elias Theodorou
Cezar Ferreira
33
Sig strikes landed
25
78
Sig strikes attempted
67
59
Total strikes landed
36
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
193s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
17-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
W3
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
14-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—