Prelims1
Welterweight
Nordine Taleb vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
·Scotiabank Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nordine Taleb
Santiago Ponzinibbio
22%
78%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
36
Age
Δ 5y
30
16-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
32-9
W1
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taleb: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Ponzinibbio: 53 sig / 0 TD
Nordine Taleb
Santiago Ponzinibbio
29
Sig strikes landed
34
73
Sig strikes attempted
83
46
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
104s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nordine Taleb
16-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
W3
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
32-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—