Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ricky Glenn
Phillipe Nover
81%
19%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
22-10-2
Career record
Δ 12 pp
11-9-1
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Glenn: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Nover: 50 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Glenn
Phillipe Nover
47
Sig strikes landed
38
117
Sig strikes attempted
96
65
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
114s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricky Glenn
"The Gladiator"
22-10-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
Blue corner
L2
Phillipe Nover
"The Filipino Assassin"
11-9-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC 109: Relentless
—