Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Belal Muhammad
44%
56%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
21-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
24-6
W2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brown: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Muhammad: 71 sig / 2 TD
Randy Brown
Belal Muhammad
39
Sig strikes landed
36
95
Sig strikes attempted
87
57
Total strikes landed
53
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
106s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
Blue corner
L1
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—