Main
Women's Strawweight
Jessica Andrade vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Angela Hill
85%
15%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
25
Age
Δ 7y
32
27-15
Career record
Δ 12 pp
19-17
W2
Current streak
L2
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Andrade: 131 sig / 2 TD ·
Hill: 89 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Angela Hill
77
Sig strikes landed
53
155
Sig strikes attempted
120
111
Total strikes landed
69
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.7
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
210s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
Blue corner
L2
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—