Main
Heavyweight
Anthony Hamilton vs Marcel Fortuna
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Anthony Hamilton
Marcel Fortuna
50%
50%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
37
Age
Δ 5y
31
L1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hamilton: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Fortuna: 15 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Hamilton
Marcel Fortuna
27
Sig strikes landed
26
50
Sig strikes attempted
49
40
Total strikes landed
49
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
146s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Anthony Hamilton
"Freight Train"
15-10
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
Blue corner
Marcel Fortuna
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31