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Bojan Mihajlovic vs Joachim Christensen

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn ·Footprint Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Bojan Mihajlovic
Joachim Christensen
38% 62%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
37
Age
Δ 1y
38
10-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
14-7
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Mihajlovic: 22 sig / 0 TD · Christensen: 41 sig / 0 TD
Bojan Mihajlovic
Joachim Christensen
31
Sig strikes landed
38
69
Sig strikes attempted
87
43
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
65s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Bojan Mihajlovic

10-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
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Blue corner
L1

Joachim Christensen

14-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
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