Prelims1
Lightweight
Anthony Rocco Martin vs Alex White
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
·Footprint Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anthony Rocco Martin
Alex White
70%
30%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
18-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-6
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Martin: 20 sig / 2 TD ·
White: 11 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Rocco Martin
Alex White
40
Sig strikes landed
35
100
Sig strikes attempted
94
54
Total strikes landed
50
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
6.1
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
228s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Rocco Martin
18-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Alex White
"The Spartan"
14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—