Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Court McGee
Ben Saunders
63%
37%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
24-14
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-14-2
W1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
Saunders: 49 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Ben Saunders
49
Sig strikes landed
45
119
Sig strikes attempted
108
71
Total strikes landed
48
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
213s
Control time
14s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Court McGee
"The Crusher"
24-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22-14-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—