Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dong Hyun Kim
Tarec Saffiedine
78%
22%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
35
Age
Δ 5y
30
23-4-1
Career record
Δ 15 pp
16-8
W2
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kim: 36 sig / 3 TD ·
Saffiedine: 52 sig / 2 TD
Dong Hyun Kim
Tarec Saffiedine
44
Sig strikes landed
30
103
Sig strikes attempted
65
72
Total strikes landed
48
2.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
7.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
272s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
23-4-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
Blue corner
L1
Tarec Saffiedine
"Sponge"
16-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—