Prelims1
Featherweight
Cole Miller vs Mizuto Hirota
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
·Golden 1 Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Mizuto Hirota
68%
32%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
21-12
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-10-3
L2
Current streak
D1
13
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Hirota: 57 sig / 6 TD
Cole Miller
Mizuto Hirota
55
Sig strikes landed
48
128
Sig strikes attempted
94
72
Total strikes landed
73
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
21-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
13 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
Blue corner
D1
Mizuto Hirota
"Pugnus"
18-10-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 0-2
Last 3
D
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—