Prelims1
Welterweight
James Moontasri vs Alex Morono
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
·Golden 1 Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
James Moontasri
Alex Morono
37%
63%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
29
Age
Δ 2y
26
9-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
25-13
L1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Moontasri: 46 sig / 0 TD ·
Morono: 111 sig / 0 TD
James Moontasri
Alex Morono
29
Sig strikes landed
38
79
Sig strikes attempted
83
42
Total strikes landed
64
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
117s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
James Moontasri
"Moon Walker"
9-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
Blue corner
W1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—