Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Urijah Faber
Brad Pickett
85%
15%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
38
Age
Δ 1y
38
35-12
Career record
Δ 12 pp
25-15
L2
Current streak
L1
15
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Faber: 70 sig / 5 TD ·
Pickett: 18 sig / 1 TD
Urijah Faber
Brad Pickett
50
Sig strikes landed
37
117
Sig strikes attempted
91
69
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
132s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
35-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
L
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
Blue corner
L1
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
25-15
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
12 fights · 5-7
Last 5
L
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
L
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—