Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alan Jouban
Mike Perry
46%
54%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
35
Age
Δ 10y
25
18-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-8
W2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jouban: 69 sig / 2 TD ·
Perry: 37 sig / 0 TD
Alan Jouban
Mike Perry
54
Sig strikes landed
44
136
Sig strikes attempted
114
57
Total strikes landed
56
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
51s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alan Jouban
"Brahma"
18-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
Blue corner
W2
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
15-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—