Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jordan Mein
Emil Meek
85%
15%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mein: 34 sig / 3 TD ·
Meek: 50 sig / 1 TD
Jordan Mein
Emil Meek
38
Sig strikes landed
31
80
Sig strikes attempted
68
49
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
31-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
Emil Meek
"Valhalla"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
28