Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Nikita Krylov vs Misha Cirkunov
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nikita Krylov
Misha Cirkunov
87%
13%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
77"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
32-11
Career record
Δ 10 pp
16-9
W5
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Krylov: 16 sig / 1 TD ·
Cirkunov: 8 sig / 2 TD
Nikita Krylov
Misha Cirkunov
37
Sig strikes landed
25
72
Sig strikes attempted
45
51
Total strikes landed
34
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
97s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
32-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
Blue corner
W3
Misha Cirkunov
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—