Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Valerie Letourneau vs Viviane Pereira
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valerie Letourneau
Viviane Pereira
23%
77%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
63"
34
Age
Δ 10y
23
L2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Letourneau: 47 sig / 1 TD ·
Pereira: 25 sig / 1 TD
Valerie Letourneau
Viviane Pereira
48
Sig strikes landed
54
120
Sig strikes attempted
115
66
Total strikes landed
100
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Valerie Letourneau
"Trouble"
8-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
Blue corner
Viviane Pereira
"Sucuri"
0-0
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23