Prelims1
Featherweight
Tiago dos Santos e Silva vs Shane Burgos
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
·Times Union Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
Shane Burgos
51%
49%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 5"
76"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
dos Santos e Silva: 56 sig / 1 TD ·
Burgos: 73 sig / 1 TD
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
Shane Burgos
41
Sig strikes landed
39
97
Sig strikes attempted
91
58
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
155s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tiago dos Santos e Silva
"Trator"
21-7-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
Blue corner
Shane Burgos
"Hurricane"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26