Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Prelims1 Lightweight

Frankie Perez vs Marc Diakiese

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov ·Times Union Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Frankie Perez
Marc Diakiese
37% 63%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
28
Age
Δ 4y
24
11-4
Career record
Δ 1 pp
18-7
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perez: 20 sig / 1 TD · Diakiese: 9 sig / 6 TD
Frankie Perez
Marc Diakiese
30
Sig strikes landed
28
79
Sig strikes attempted
83
33
Total strikes landed
34
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
57s
Control time
53s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Frankie Perez

11-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
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L UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
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Blue corner
W1

Marc Diakiese

"Bonecrusher"
18-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
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