Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Justine Kish vs Ashley Yoder

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov ·Times Union Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Justine Kish
Ashley Yoder
64% 36%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kish: 51 sig / 1 TD · Yoder: 44 sig / 1 TD
Justine Kish
Ashley Yoder
49
Sig strikes landed
43
85
Sig strikes attempted
93
64
Total strikes landed
74
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
165s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Justine Kish

8-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
Blue corner

Ashley Yoder

"SpiderMonkey"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29