Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
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Gian Villante vs Saparbeg Safarov

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov ·Times Union Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Saparbeg Safarov
47% 53%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
L1
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Villante: 60 sig / 0 TD · Safarov: 37 sig / 0 TD
Gian Villante
Saparbeg Safarov
47
Sig strikes landed
50
91
Sig strikes attempted
99
63
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
115s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Gian Villante

17-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
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W UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
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L UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
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W UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
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Blue corner

Saparbeg Safarov

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30