Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Prelims1 Welterweight

Randy Brown vs Brian Camozzi

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov ·Times Union Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Brian Camozzi
76% 24%
Why
78"
Reach
78"
26
Age
Δ 1y
26
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Brown: 42 sig / 1 TD · Camozzi: 11 sig / 0 TD
Randy Brown
Brian Camozzi
31
Sig strikes landed
23
66
Sig strikes attempted
49
45
Total strikes landed
31
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
215s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Randy Brown

"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
Blue corner

Brian Camozzi

"Mantis"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26