Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Prelims1 Middleweight

Keith Berish vs Ryan Janes

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov ·Times Union Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Keith Berish
Ryan Janes
57% 43%
Why
31
Age
Δ 4y
35
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Berish: 61 sig / 2 TD · Janes: 82 sig / 0 TD
Keith Berish
Ryan Janes
34
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
73
45
Total strikes landed
53
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
140s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Keith Berish

"Sha Bang Bang"
5-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-0
Blue corner

Ryan Janes

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35