Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Prelims1 Middleweight

Joseph Gigliotti vs Gerald Meerschaert

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov ·Times Union Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Joseph Gigliotti
Gerald Meerschaert
43% 57%
Why
23
Age
Δ 6y
29
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Gigliotti: 5 sig / 1 TD · Meerschaert: 14 sig / 0 TD
Joseph Gigliotti
Gerald Meerschaert
21
Sig strikes landed
36
53
Sig strikes attempted
60
33
Total strikes landed
57
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
110s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Joseph Gigliotti

"Capo"
7-3
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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Blue corner

Gerald Meerschaert

"GM3"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29