Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Juliana Lima vs JJ Aldrich
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
·Times Union Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Juliana Lima
JJ Aldrich
30%
70%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
35
Age
Δ 11y
24
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lima: 56 sig / 4 TD ·
Aldrich: 31 sig / 0 TD
Juliana Lima
JJ Aldrich
29
Sig strikes landed
36
49
Sig strikes attempted
75
62
Total strikes landed
75
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
262s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Juliana Lima
"Ju Thai"
9-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
Blue corner
JJ Aldrich
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24