Main
Light Heavyweight
Corey Anderson vs Sean O'Connell
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
·Times Union Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Corey Anderson
Sean O'Connell
71%
29%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
27
Age
Δ 6y
33
14-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L2
7
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Anderson: 66 sig / 5 TD ·
O'Connell: 9 sig / 0 TD
Corey Anderson
Sean O'Connell
63
Sig strikes landed
57
143
Sig strikes attempted
121
90
Total strikes landed
75
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.7
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
201s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
14-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
Blue corner
L2
Sean O'Connell
"The Real OC"
17-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—