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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Rob Font vs Matt Schnell

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Rob Font
Matt Schnell
65% 35%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Font: 26 sig / 1 TD · Schnell: 14 sig / 0 TD
Rob Font
Matt Schnell
43
Sig strikes landed
37
96
Sig strikes attempted
86
57
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
78s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Rob Font

22-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
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W UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
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Blue corner

Matt Schnell

"Danger"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27