Prelims1
Featherweight
Gray Maynard vs Ryan Hall
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Gray Maynard
Ryan Hall
37%
63%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
38
Age
Δ 6y
32
14-7-1
Career record
Δ 20 pp
10-2
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maynard: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Hall: 46 sig / 0 TD
Gray Maynard
Ryan Hall
15
Sig strikes landed
33
41
Sig strikes attempted
58
39
Total strikes landed
64
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.9
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
181s
Control time
260s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gray Maynard
14-7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
10 fights · 4-5
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
L
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Ryan Hall
"The Wizard"
10-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—