Main
Light Heavyweight
Ion Cutelaba vs Jared Cannonier
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ion Cutelaba
Jared Cannonier
72%
28%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
23
Age
Δ 10y
33
21-11-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-9
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cutelaba: 45 sig / 6 TD ·
Cannonier: 59 sig / 0 TD
Ion Cutelaba
Jared Cannonier
37
Sig strikes landed
43
113
Sig strikes attempted
92
50
Total strikes landed
48
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
83s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
21-11-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—