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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Kailin Curran vs Jamie Moyle

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kailin Curran
Jamie Moyle
54% 46%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
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4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Curran: 47 sig / 0 TD · Moyle: 73 sig / 3 TD
Kailin Curran
Jamie Moyle
29
Sig strikes landed
34
80
Sig strikes attempted
57
59
Total strikes landed
65
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
191s
Control time
173s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Kailin Curran

4-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
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W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
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L UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
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Blue corner

Jamie Moyle

0-0
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28