Main
Flyweight
Joseph Benavidez vs Henry Cejudo
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joseph Benavidez
Henry Cejudo
77%
23%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
29-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-7
W5
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Benavidez: 69 sig / 0 TD ·
Cejudo: 68 sig / 1 TD
Joseph Benavidez
Henry Cejudo
56
Sig strikes landed
44
133
Sig strikes attempted
111
66
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.0
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
142s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Joseph Benavidez
29-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 11-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
Blue corner
L1
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
16-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—