Main
Welterweight
Kyle Noke vs Omari Akhmedov
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
·Rod Laver Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kyle Noke
Omari Akhmedov
41%
59%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
37
Age
Δ 8y
29
22-11-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
21-7-1
L2
Current streak
L2
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Noke: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Akhmedov: 23 sig / 3 TD
Kyle Noke
Omari Akhmedov
36
Sig strikes landed
36
73
Sig strikes attempted
77
46
Total strikes landed
51
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
56s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Kyle Noke
22-11-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
L
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
L2
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
21-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
W
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—