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Prelims1 Welterweight

Richard Walsh vs Jonathan Meunier

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Richard Walsh
Jonathan Meunier
60% 40%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
9-6
Career record
Δ 20 pp
8-2
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Walsh: 18 sig / 2 TD · Meunier: 74 sig / 1 TD
Richard Walsh
Jonathan Meunier
38
Sig strikes landed
33
69
Sig strikes attempted
63
61
Total strikes landed
49
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
192s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Richard Walsh

"Filthy Rich"
9-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
W UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
L UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
Blue corner
L1

Jonathan Meunier

"District"
8-2
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…